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Finance

Wisdom of the Few? Prediction Markets Are Driven by a Small Number of Skilled Traders

A new study co-authored by Yale SOM’s Theis Jensen finds that a small group of informed traders drive prices—and take home a large portion of the profits.

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  • Requiring Short Seller Disclosure Could Distort Markets

    A study by Yale SOM's Frank Zhang suggests that requiring disclosures of short positions would lead some investors to make decisions based on others’ short positions, rather than information about a firm; this “herding” could drive stock prices away from their true value.

    A herd of water buffalo drinking at a water hole
  • Can Mergers and Acquisitions Reduce Employee Misconduct?

    New research co-authored by Prof. Heather Tookes looks at whether employee misconduct in the highly regulated investment advisory industry goes down after a merger, potentially making the combined company more valuable.

    A photo of two wings of a modern glass building appearing to converge
  • Is Climate Risk More than Markets Can Handle?

    Yale SOM finance professor Stefano Giglio lays out the unique complications of grappling with climate risk, and explains his own work on stock portfolios that hedge climate change.

    A satellite image of Miami, Florida
  • How ‘Stablecoins’ Could Unleash Chaos

    Dollar-pegged cryptocurrencies are rapidly proliferating. But without regulation, these so-called stablecoins pose serious risks to the U.S. financial system, argue Yale SOM’s Gary B. Gorton and his co-author.

    An illustration of a bank supported by columns of precarious coins
  • Keeping Community in the Investment Equation

    In this series, leaders tell stories about drawing on their core values in critical moments. For Lofton Holder ’90, grounding investing acumen in a connection to community builds trust and delivers returns.

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  • What Does It Take to Create Financial Products That Can Save the Planet?

    Investors are increasingly eager to contribute to solutions for climate change and other environmental problems. Charlotte Kaiser ’07 of The Nature Conservancy’s NatureVest explains how the company builds financial products that attract mainstream capital while delivering conservation impacts.

    An overhead image of Ille Pierre Island in Seychelles.
  • Study: Margin Trading Causes Stock Prices to Drop in Concert

    During financial crises, stocks tend to fall together more than they should. A new study co-authored by Yale SOM’s Heather Tookes suggests that margin trading plays a substantial role in driving this downward spiral.

    Mumbai's BSE stock exchange on March 9, 2020, as the COVID-19 pandemic sparked a plunge in stock prices. Photo: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg via Getty Images.
  • Study: Rising Seas Aren’t Causing Coastal Property Values to Decline

    Climate change is causing sea levels to rise, threatening expensive waterfront properties. But according to a new study co-authored by Yale SOM’s Matthew Spiegel, prices are not falling in the areas most likely to be affected.

    A row of coastal houses
  • Is Bitcoin a Bubble?

    The price of a single Bitcoin is up more than 700% since the beginning of 2020, defying years of predictions of a crash. We asked Prof. Aleh Tsyvinski, professor of economics at Yale, to shed some light on the continuing phenomenon.

    Bitcoins floating in a bubble on a black background
  • Video: Why You Should Care about the Fed’s Inflation Policy

    William English, a former Fed official who is now a professor in the practice of finance at Yale SOM, explains why the Fed shifted its approach to balancing inflation and employment, and what the change means for the economy.

    Benjamin Franklin on the $100 bill, winking