Skip to main content

Finance

The Key Information Hiding Behind ‘Consensus’ Target Stock Prices‌

Ordinary investors generally can only see an average of analysts’ target prices for a given stock. In a new study, Yale SOM’s Thomas Steffen and Frank Zhang find that when the degree of variation within that “consensus” figure is large, it’s a bad sign for future returns. ‌

A target surrounded by darts
  • Small Changes, Big Results: Research-Backed Tips for Living a Good Life in 2025‌‌

    We asked Yale SOM faculty for their best tips on living happily, healthily, and productively in the new year.‌

    Ripples on water in the sun
  • Our Most-Read Stories of 2024

    This year, faculty and alumni experts helped us understand issues including the expanding role of AI in our society, the new space economy, the impact of gender in the workplace, the keys to financing a greener economy, and the psychological quirks that lead us toward irrational economic choices.

    A collage of artwork from multiple articles
  • Investors Care About ESG-Related News—When It Impacts Returns‌

    A new paper co-authored by Professor Edward Watts examines how retail investors weigh news about a public company’s environmental, social, and governance activity.

    A carbon removal plant in Reykjavik, Iceland
  • Settling the Debate on Whether Green Investing Pays ‌‌

    In a new study, Yale SOM’s Theis Jensen and his co-authors find that the return from green investments relative to brown ones is slightly negative—which is actually good news for the planet.

    A scale weighing climate-friendly investments against polluting ones
  • Swings in Building Permits Can Help Predict Financial Downturns‌

    Yale SOM’s Cameron LaPoint and his co-author painstakingly assembled a century of local building permits. Again and again, they found, peaks in the issuing of permits preceded periods of economic turmoil. ‌

    A home under construction in the Verona at Lake Las Vegas subdivision in Henderson, Nevada, in June 2024. 
  • Why It’s Harder for Women Founders to Get Venture Capital Funding

    A new study co-authored by Yale SOM’s Heather Tookes shows that women are less likely to get funding compared to men with similar entrepreneurial history. One reason is that investors who have experienced a poor outcome from a woman-led startup shy away from other women founders—but benefitting from successes of women founders doesn’t lead them to invest more.

    An illustration showing a male investor being raised up by hands and money, while a women investor is getting less
  • Do Nudges Help Americans Save for Retirement? Not as Much as We Thought.

    Two decades ago, Prof. James Choi’s research suggested that automatic enrollment and escalation and could have a sizeable impact on savings. Now he and his co-authors have looked at these programs again and found that under real-world conditions, the effect on savings is much smaller than expected.

    An illustration of a piggy bank-shaped hot air balloon that can't get off the ground
  • What Will It Take to Make Housing More Affordable?

    We asked Prof. Cameron LaPoint, whose research interests include real estate and household finance, if Kamala Harris’s proposal can make a difference.

    Construction of new housing in Falls Church, Virginia, in 2023.
  • The Fed Is Cutting Rates Soon. Should I Wait to Get a Loan?

    Many homebuyers and other borrowers incorrectly believe that they get a lower rate by waiting until a cut becomes official, according to Prof. Kelly Shue. This misconception is so widespread that it can undercut the effectiveness of Fed monetary policy.

    Mortgage rates in the window of a Bank of America office
  • Trump Is Already Rattling the Stock Market

    Professor Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, co-author Steven Tian, and investor and analyst Whitney Tilson write that the pattern is familiar from Trump’s term in office, when his remarks frequently swayed markets—usually for the worse.

    Donald Trump on a TV at the New York Stock Exchange