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Finance

Wisdom of the Few? Prediction Markets Are Driven by a Small Number of Skilled Traders

A new study co-authored by Yale SOM’s Theis Jensen finds that a small group of informed traders drive prices—and take home a large portion of the profits.

A herd of sheep led by a small group with glasses, maps, and binoculars
  • CEOs Invest Less in Corporate Social Responsibility When Their Own Money Is At Stake

    A study co-authored by Yale SOM’s Kelly Shue finds that when CEOs have a larger financial stake in their companies, or when they face stronger shareholder oversight, they cut back spending on corporate social responsibility efforts.

    An illustration of a CEO looking at stock prices and hesitating to write a check
  • What Did the Last Four Years Teach Us about Managing Inflation?

    William English, a professor in the practice of finance and a former economist at the Federal Reserve, discusses lessons learned from central banks’ responses to four-plus years of extraordinary economic disruption.

    Shoppers in a chain store with televisions for sale
  • What Does a Record Stock Market Mean?

    We asked Yale SOM’s William Goetzmann, an expert on financial markets and the history of finance, what soaring stock prices say about the economy and the future of the markets.

    A trader in front of computer terminals at the New York Stock Exchange
  • Assembling an Economy in Space

    A mix of public and private investments are positioning the space economy for a period of growth and innovation, says Sven Eenmaa ’98, director of investment and economic analysis at the International Space Station U.S. National Laboratory.

    Astronauts working on the International Space Station
  • Our Most-Read Stories of 2023

    This year, Yale SOM research examined sustainable investing, the dynamics of social media, the role of race in school discipline, and the complexities of airline pricing. And faculty offered expertise on issues in the news, including the changing workplace, noncompete agreements, the politics of ESG investing, the effectiveness of masks, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, and the Barbie movie phenomenon.

    A collage of illustrations and photographs
  • Is Commercial Real Estate in for a Downturn…or a Crisis?

    Commercial real estate downturns don’t typically create systemic threats. Yale SOM’s Andrew Metrick offers a nightmare scenario showing why this time might be different.

    An empty ground-floor commercial space, seen through a window.
  • Lower-Income Employees Are More Likely to Remain at 401(k) Defaults, Even If It Costs Them Money

    Automatically enrolling employees in retirement plans is a powerful tool for increasing savings. But Yale SOM’s James Choi and his coauthors find that once enrolled, people with lower incomes are more likely to remain at default contribution rates, even if they aren’t optimal.

    An illustration of currency being cut in half as it is put into a piggy bank
  • Did Student Loan Forbearance Push Distressed Borrowers Further into Debt?

    In a new study, Yale SOM’s Heather Tookes and her co-authors find that after loan forebearance went into effect in March 2020, distressed borrowers’ credit scores jumped. That allowed them to take on more credit card and auto debt—and, eventually, led to higher rates of delinquencies.

    An illustration of a graduate trying to escape a storm of debt while running on top of credit cards.
  • Data from Twitter Can Predict a Crypto Coin’s Ascent

    Cryptocurrencies are notoriously volatile. But listening carefully to social media chatter can help identify winning short-term investments in crypto, according to a study from Yale SOM’s Tauhid Zaman and Khizar Qureshi.

    Cryptocurrency coins surfing high waves
  • The Business of ‘Anti-Woke’ Is Falling Flat

    Yale SOM’s Jeffrey Sonnenfeld and Steven Tian write that the exchange-traded funds that boycott companies taking action on social issues are underperforming the market and struggling to find investors.

    Vivek Ramaswamy at the Vision 2024 National Conservative Forum in Charleston, South Carolina, in March 2023.