Research
To Improve the Accuracy of Prediction Markets, Just Ask
In theory, prediction markets give the most accurate possible forecasts because they incorporate all available information. But a study by Yale SOM’s Jason Dana and his co-authors showed that in some cases, forecasts can be improved by simply asking people what they think will happen.
For CEOs, Integrity Is the Best Policy
A new study co-authored by Yale SOM’s Thomas Steffen analyzed tens of thousands of shareholder letters to reveal whether executives’ actions typically live up to their promises. It found that firms whose CEOs scored well on this measure of integrity tended to perform better, while facing lower audit fees.
Kidney Exchange Registries Should Collaborate to Save More Lives
Yale SOM’s Vahideh Manshadi and her co-authors examined the methodology of kidney exchange registries, and found that registries can find more matches if they collaborate to build a unified database.
Forgiving Debts May Boost Employment During Recessions
In an analysis of the Great Recession, Yale SOM's Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham and his co-authors found that debt relief increased employment by up to 2% nationwide.
How Leverage Turns Market Corrections into Crashes
Leverage-induced fire sales contributed to the worst stock market crashes in history. Prof. Kelly Shue studied account-level data from the Chinese market crash in 2015 to illuminate how much leverage matters.
Gig Workers Value their Flexibility... a Lot
Using extensive data on Uber drivers, Yale SOM’s Judith Chevalier and her co-authors examined their driving patterns to understand the economic value of flexible scheduling. They found that rideshare drivers would have to earn as much as double to accept less-flexible arrangements.
Activist Shareholders May Help Firms in the Long Term
Do activist shareholders choose quick profits over long-term health? Yale SOM’s Song Ma and his collaborators find evidence that their interventions boost innovation.
How to Turn Your Mistakes into an Advantage
People and companies alike often try to hide their mistakes from public view. New research by Yale SOM’s Taly Reich reveals that sometimes you’re better off owning your gaffes.
Competition Can Make Corporate Cultures More Socially Progressive
A study by Yale SOM’s Alexander Zentefis and Gary Gorton suggests a progressive competitor can push a company to change under the right circumstances.
The Illusion of Multitasking Improves Performance on Simple Tasks
Multitasking is inefficient—but we feel like we’re getting so much done. In a series of experiments, Yale SOM’s Gal Zauberman harnessed this mistaken impression.