Jason Dana
Perceptions of Shifts in Public Opinion Are Wildly Off Base
People greatly overestimate how conservative people were in the past, leading to an exaggerated impression of liberal progress, according to a study by Yale SOM’s Jason Dana and Adam Mastroianni of Columbia Business School.
To Improve the Accuracy of Prediction Markets, Just Ask
In theory, prediction markets give the most accurate possible forecasts because they incorporate all available information. But a study by Yale SOM’s Jason Dana and his co-authors showed that in some cases, forecasts can be improved by simply asking people what they think will happen.
Why Good Advice Is Often Bad
According to research by Yale SOM’s Jason Dana and Daylian Cain, psychological factors make unbiased advice a more difficult task than it appears at first glance.
