NO. 02

What's at Stake?
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Forecasting the Vote

The media has traditionally avoided releasing voting results for battleground states until polls close. That will change on November 8 when a startup, VoteCastr, partners with Slate to publish real-time projections, based on turnout, like those in presidential campaign war rooms.

While instantaneous data gratification is increasingly the norm, one of the most respected polling organization, the Pew Research Center, is slowing things down. Noting the effective coverage of the pre-election “horse race” by poll aggregators, Pew wants to focus on “questions that others are not asking, at a depth that others may not have the resources to investigate.”

There is no shortage of polls, but they may be getting less reliable. The Harvard Business Review examines the technological and cultural shifts that make polling more challenging than even a few years ago.

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John Crowley
Senior Lecturer in English, Creative Writing, Yale University; Author of nine novels

William L. McComb
Former CEO, Fifth & Pacific Companies

Lori Lucas
Executive Vice President and Defined Contribution Practice Leader, Callan Associates

Helen Siu
Professor of Anthropology, Yale University

Harish Hande
Managing Director and Co-founder, SELCO

Michael Porter
Bishop William Lawrence University Professor, Harvard Business School

Ellen Shuman
Founder and Managing Partner, Edgehill Endowment Partners

Karen C. Seto
Professor of Geography and Urbanization, Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies

Clive Meanwell
CEO, The Medicines Company