NO. 02

What's at Stake?
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Forecasting the Vote

The media has traditionally avoided releasing voting results for battleground states until polls close. That will change on November 8 when a startup, VoteCastr, partners with Slate to publish real-time projections, based on turnout, like those in presidential campaign war rooms.

While instantaneous data gratification is increasingly the norm, one of the most respected polling organization, the Pew Research Center, is slowing things down. Noting the effective coverage of the pre-election “horse race” by poll aggregators, Pew wants to focus on “questions that others are not asking, at a depth that others may not have the resources to investigate.”

There is no shortage of polls, but they may be getting less reliable. The Harvard Business Review examines the technological and cultural shifts that make polling more challenging than even a few years ago.

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Executive Vice President, Marketing, AMC

Deepak Jeevan Kumar
Partner, General Catalyst Partners

Anne Kvam
Head of Corporate Governance, Norges Bank Investment Management

Miguel Centeno
Professor of Sociology and International Affairs, Princeton University

Arthur Mizne
CEO, M Square Global Investimentos

Sherri Goodman
Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary, CNA

Ernesto Zedillo
Director, Yale Center for the Study of Globalization, and Professor in the Field of International Economics and Politics, Yale University; Former President of Mexico

Christine Barton
Senior Partner, Boston Consulting Group

Shane Frederick
Professor of Marketing