Business Prognosticators Keep Getting It Wrong
Yale SOM’s Jeffrey Sonnenfeld explains the mistakes that analysts and forecasters make while trying to predict the future.
Researchers Propose New Method to Hedge against the Risk of Climate Disaster
Markets could be a huge part of mitigating climate risk. A proposal from Yale finance faculty seeks to make that a reality.
To Prevent Financial Crises, Regulate Short-Term Debt
Yale SOM’s Gary Gorton argues that financial crises happen because short-term lending, while essential to the economy, is also vulnerable to panic when parties lose confidence in each other. In a new paper, Gorton proposes a method of regulating short-term debt and preventing future crises.
Can Antitrust Enforcement Protect Digital Consumers?
More and more of our economic and social lives are being conducted through digital channels. Economist Fiona Scott Morton talks about how effective antitrust regulation and enforcement can ensure that consumers benefit from the next killer app.
For Top Venture Capital Firms, Success Breeds Success
Most investing success is short lived, but venture capital is an exception, with top VCs beating the average year after year. A new study finds that consistent returns owe as much to a firm’s reputation and early luck as the smarts of its employees.
WeWork: What, We Worry?
Jeffrey Sonnenfeld writes that WeWork founder Adam Neumann’s sale of $700 million of his ownership indicates a lack of faith in his own company as it heads toward an IPO.
Why ‘Breaking Up’ Big Tech Probably Won’t Work
Instead, argues Yale SOM’s Fiona Scott Morton, the government should exercise its regulatory powers to promote competition.
Don’t Be Surprised by Uber’s Low-Priced IPO—It’s a Sign of Challenges to Come
According to Yale SOM’s Matthew Spiegel and Heather Tookes, an IPO is often followed by disappointing returns, not just for the newly public company but its entire industry.
A Life in Finance: A Conversation with Prof. Roger Ibbotson
Professor Roger Ibbotson, an influential scholar and practitioner of finance for decades, sat down for a conversation with Professor William Goetzmann about his groundbreaking work on the historical returns of the stock market, his experiences as a teacher, and his current research.
Forgiving Debts May Boost Employment During Recessions
In an analysis of the Great Recession, Yale SOM's Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham and his co-authors found that debt relief increased employment by up to 2% nationwide.
How Leverage Turns Market Corrections into Crashes
Leverage-induced fire sales contributed to the worst stock market crashes in history. Prof. Kelly Shue studied account-level data from the Chinese market crash in 2015 to illuminate how much leverage matters.